VanEck says US Bitcoin Reserve could reduce national debt

VanEck says US Bitcoin Reserve could reduce national debt

In Summary

  • VanEck suggests a US Bitcoin reserve could offset 18% of national debt by 2049
  • Model assumes BTC appreciates to $21M per coin over 25 years
  • Senator Cynthia Lummis supports the idea, citing fiscal resilience
  • Global central banks remain divided on Bitcoin’s reserve role


Catenaa, Friday, February 28, 2025-Investment firm VanEck has proposed a US strategic Bitcoin reserve, suggesting that accumulating BTC could help alleviate the country’s mounting national debt. The firm modeled a scenario where the US Treasury acquires 1 million Bitcoin over five years as a long-term store of value. 

VanEck’s analysis assumes Bitcoin could rise from $100,000 in 2025 to $21 million per BTC by 2049, potentially valuing a 1-million-BTC reserve at $21 trillion—covering 18% of projected US debt. The model highlights Bitcoin’s potential role as a sovereign reserve similar to gold. 

Senator Cynthia Lummis, a longtime Bitcoin advocate, publicly backed VanEck’s research, reinforcing calls for integrating Bitcoin into US fiscal policy. However, analysts caution that Bitcoin’s volatility poses significant risks. 

Globally, central banks are debating Bitcoin’s role. The Czech National Bank is studying its viability, while Germany’s Bundesbank and the ECB remain skeptical, warning of speculative risks. 

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