US Job Openings Fell In July Awaiting Fed Rate Cut

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In Summary

  • Job openings, a measure of labor demand, dropped 176,000 to 7.181 million by the last day of July
  • Hiring increased by 41,000 to 5.308 million in July. Layoffs rose 12,000 to 1.808 million
  • Employment gains averaged 35,000 jobs per month over the last three months
  • Traders were pricing in 95.6% chances of a rate cut on Wednesday


Catenaa, Wednesday, September 03, 2025- US job openings fell more than expected in July by 176,000, and hiring was moderate, consistent with easing labor market conditions.

Job openings, a measure of labor demand, dropped 176,000 to 7.181 million by the last day of July, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics said in its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.

Hiring increased by 41,000 to 5.308 million in July. Layoffs rose 12,000 to 1.808 million. The labor market has slowed, with economists blaming President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs. Labor supply has also declined amid the Trump administration’s immigration crackdown.

A Reuters survey of economists expects the government’s closely watched employment report on Friday will likely show nonfarm payrolls increased by 75,000 jobs in August after rising 73,000 in July. 

Employment gains averaged 35,000 jobs per month over the last three months compared to 123,000 during the same period in 2024, the government reported in August.

The unemployment rate was forecast to climb to 4.3% from 4.2% in July.

That decline in job openings sent investor bets on an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve in September higher. Traders were pricing in 95.6% chances of a rate cut on Wednesday, up from 91.7% earlier in the morning, according to CME FedWatch.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell last month signaled a possible rate cut at the US central bank’s September 16-17 policy meeting, acknowledging the rising labor market risks, but also added that inflation remained a threat.

The Fed has kept its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range since December.

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