Catenaa, Friday, July 25, 2025- Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence firm xAI has integrated its Grok model into Kalshi, a federally regulated prediction market platform, enabling users to access real-time AI-driven analysis before placing trades. The partnership is now live, the companies announced Thursday on social media platform X.
Grok, embedded within Kalshi’s interface, allows traders to query onchain data, track historical odds, and view breaking news ahead of wagering on political, financial, and cultural events. Kalshi, which operates under CFTC oversight, enables users to trade “yes” or “no” event contracts, with each contract settling at $1 if correct. The platform accepts deposits in bitcoin, SOL, USDC, and Worldcoin, but settles trades in U.S. dollars.
Founded by MIT alumni Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi has seen rapid growth, processing $1.4 billion in trades over just 11 days for election-related contracts in late 2024, according to the FIA Expo. The firm completed a $185 million Series B round in June, led by crypto investment firm Paradigm, giving it a $2 billion valuation.
The collaboration offers xAI a live testing ground to refine Grok’s reasoning and predictive capabilities. The model, already integrated into Musk’s social media platform X, is positioned as a challenger to ChatGPT.
The tie-up comes as regulators debate expanding retail access to event contracts. Kalshi’s recent legal win over the CFTC has reignited policy discussions, while rival Polymarket is eyeing a return to the U.S. via a QCEX acquisition.
